Wednesday, 4 February 2026

The Public Service Bargain: Why "Protection" is a Pillar of Good Governance

 


In the first four weeks of PADM 112: Introduction to Public Administration, my students and I have been deconstructing the engine of the Canadian state. We’ve explored the Merit Principle vs. Political Patronage, and the delicate dance between elected officials and the professional bureaucracy.

Shortly after this discussion on administrative neutrality, I came across a post from a City Manager in Florida quoting an attorney speaking on City Manager contracts. His takeaway was a blunt reminder of a principle we often take for granted:

"If you want a [manager] to lead effectively, make tough calls, and act in the city’s best interest — the contract must also protect the manager. That protection isn’t a perk... It’s governance structure."

While the American system often leans on individual contracts, in the Canadian Westminster model, this protection is an institutionalized "Bargain."

The Anatomy of the Bargain

In the Booth and Rowley textbook, the relationship between the politician and the administrator is defined as a Public Service Bargain. While not explicitly written into the Constitution Act, it functions as a Constitutional Convention, one of the unwritten rules essential to the operation of Responsible Government.

The Administrator’s Commitment: They trade their right to public partisan expression and political ambition for permanence (tenure) and anonymity.

The Politician’s Commitment: They trade the "spoils of victory" (the right to hire/fire based on loyalty) for professionalism and institutional memory.

The "protection" mentioned by that City Attorney is exactly what allows for Fearless Advice. Without job security, advice becomes "survivalist." If an administrator knows that questioning a populist whim might lead to their termination, they cease to be a professional filter and become a "virtual yes-man." At that point, the merit principle is dead, and we have reverted to a system of patronage in all but name.

The Partisan Pressure Cooker

This bargain is more critical today than perhaps at any other point in Canadian history. We live in an increasingly partisan landscape where social media has effectively eroded the "Anonymity" portion of the bargain.

In the past, a senior official could challenge a policy in the privacy of a Minister's office. Today, that official’s identity, past social media posts, or even their perceived "body language" in a committee meeting can be weaponized by partisan actors online. When anonymity fades, the permanence of the role becomes the only remaining shield. If we weaken that protection now, we invite a "spoils system" where administrators are forced to perform for the digital mob rather than provide rigorous policy analysis.

The Tension, Who Watches the Watchmen?

A rigorous look at this bargain requires us to address the primary pushback, democratic supremacy. Many critics will argue that "too much protection" allows unelected bureaucrats to stymie the mandate of an elected government. This is the fear of Bureaucratic Sabotage, what we see with calls to end the ‘deep-state’.

The answer lies in the second half of the Westminster duty, Loyal Implementation. Protection exists to ensure the advice is honest and the trade-offs are clear. However, once the decision is legally made by the elected official, the administrator’s role is to execute that direction with the same professional rigor they used to critique it. Protection is a shield for integrity, not a license for obstruction.

From Clean Theory to the "Messy Reality"

For my PADM students, the theoretical honeymoon is over. We are now pivoting to the Application Phase. Over the next three weeks, we will be analyzing current issues at the Federal, Provincial, and Local levels.

The goal is to recognize a hard truth, very few problems have "solutions"; they have trade-offs. Whether it is housing density or carbon policy, these are not "simple" issues, despite how they are marketed. It is precisely because these issues are so complex that we require a protected, professional public service. We need experts who are empowered to weigh those difficult trade-offs without the looming fear of political retribution.

Recommended Reading List

To dig deeper into these themes, I recommend the following selections from our course text and key administrative literature:

  • Booth, G. J., & Rowley, A. J. Canadian Political Structure and Public Administration (6th Ed.):
    • Chapter 6: A Cog in the Machine: For the foundational definition of Bureaucracy and the Merit Principle.
    • Chapter 7: Evolution of Public Administration: To understand the shift from 19th-century patronage to the professionalized service of today.
    • Chapter 9: The Bureaucratic Machinery: Focus on the "Haldane" convention and the role of Deputy Ministers.
  • Savoie, Donald J. Breaking the Bargain: Public Servants, Ministers, and Parliament. (2003). (LINK to the Policy Options Book Review)
  • Kernaghan, Kenneth. The Politics of Public Administration.  Essential for understanding the "Neutrality" doctrine in the Canadian context and the shift and risks it faces (LINK).
  • Values and Ethics Code for the Public Sector (Canada) (LINK)

 

Thursday, 15 January 2026

The Sunk Cost Fallacy: Why “We’ve Already Paid for It” Is Bad Economics

 


One of my favorite ways to start the semester is by introducing a concept many students are at least tangentially familiar with: opportunity cost.

Closely tied to opportunity cost, and to a core economic assumption about marginal decision-making to maximize well-being, is the sunk cost fallacy. While this fallacy shows up frequently in large public and private projects, I find it most effective to bring it down to a scale we’re all familiar with (and probably guilty of): sitting through a bad movie simply because “we’ve already paid for it.”

Before working through an example, one quick definition. In this post, I’ll refer to economic rent, which, following the CORE Microeconomics framework, means the extra benefit you receive from an action after accounting for all relevant economic costs, including opportunity costs. A positive economic rent means the choice improves your well-being relative to the next-best alternative.

The Initial Choice

Suppose you have two groups of friends asking you to hang out on the same evening:

  • One group wants to go to the movie theatre
  • The other wants to go to the pub

You can only attend one.

To keep things simple, let’s assume:

  • Your time is the scarce resource, not money (Lucky you)
  • You enjoy both groups of friends
  • The movie starts earlier, and the pub hangout begins later

Economists often represent enjoyment or satisfaction in dollar terms, not because it’s literally money, but because it gives us a common unit to compare options.

Option A: The Movie Theatre

You’ve heard the movie is good, so you expect:

  • Benefit: $50 (movie + time with friends)
  • Explicit cost: $35 (ticket, popcorn, etc.)

That leaves you with a net explicit benefit of:

$50 − $35 = $15

Option B: The Pub

You know from experience the pub is always a good time:

  • Benefit: $60
  • Explicit cost: $50 (food, drinks, tip)

So, your net explicit benefit here is:

$60 − $50 = $10

Choosing Using Economic Rent

Using economic rent as the decision rule:

If you choose the movie:

  • Net explicit benefit = $15
  • Opportunity cost = forgone $10 from the pub
  • Economic rent = +$5

If you choose the pub:

  • Net explicit benefit = $10
  • Opportunity cost = forgone $15 from the movie
  • Economic rent = −$5

To maximize well-being, you choose the option with positive economic rent, in this case, the movie.

When Expectations Turn Out to Be Wrong

Now suppose you get into the theatre and quickly realize the movie is terrible.

Your original expectation of a $50 benefit was wrong. Going forward, the only enjoyment you expect to receive is about $5, purely from being with friends, not from the movie itself.

At this point, you face a new decision:

  • Do you stay and finish the movie because you already paid for it?
  • Or do you leave and head to the pub, which is just getting started?

This is where many of us fall into the sunk cost fallacy.

Why the Sunk Cost Shouldn’t Matter

The $35 you paid for the movie is sunk:

  • It’s already been paid
  • It’s irrecoverable
  • It’s in the past

Because of that, it should not influence your decision going forward.

What matters now are the costs and benefits from this point onward.

The Decision Going Forward

Option A: Stay at the Theatre

  • Benefit: $5 (time with friends)
  • Explicit cost: $0 (the ticket is already paid)

Net explicit benefit = $5

The opportunity cost of staying is the forgone pub experience worth $10.

Economic rent = $5 − $10 = −$5

Option B: Go to the Pub

  • Benefit: $60
  • Explicit cost: $50

Net explicit benefit = $10

The opportunity cost is the $5 you would have received by staying.

Economic rent = $10 − $5 = +$5

The Rational Choice

The economically rational choice is to leave the movie and go to the pub.

Importantly, notice what doesn’t enter the calculation: The $35 already spent as that cost is sunk. It cannot be recovered, and including it in your decision would only lead you to make a worse choice going forward.

A Hiking Analogy

I find this analogy really helps drive the point home.

Suppose you’re on a hike and have already walked 5,000 steps. Ahead of you is a river you planned to cross, but when you arrive, the river is raging and the bridge is washed out. Crossing now would risk serious injury or death.

Should you continue just because you’ve already spent 5,000 steps getting there?

Of course not.

Those steps are sunk. The only relevant question is:

  • Do you take a dangerous risk?
  • Or do you turn back and choose a safer alternative for the day?

When the stakes are life and limb, the correct choice is obvious. The sunk cost fallacy feels tempting mainly when the costs are monetary or effort-based, but the logic is exactly the same.

Final Thought

What are your thoughts on the sunk cost fallacy?
Have you caught yourself thinking “I might as well finish, I’ve already paid for it or invested so much into it”?
Have you seen examples where sunk costs led to clearly worse outcomes?

Let me know in the comments.

 

The Public Service Bargain: Why "Protection" is a Pillar of Good Governance

  In the first four weeks of PADM 112: Introduction to Public Administration, my students and I have been deconstructing the engine of the C...